House the market? Scherb Homes Group - July 2026

Scherb Homes Group Market Report

South Bay Buyer & Seller Market Report | July 2026

A friendly, practical look at what buyers and sellers should know right now across the South Bay, Palos Verdes Peninsula, Beach Cities, Hollywood Riviera, Torrance, and San Pedro.

Hello from the Scherb Homes family. We have been enjoying summer, Clover has been loving summer school, and she has even told us she likes it more than being at home. We are planning our family trip to Maine in August, enjoying summer festivities, getting outside, hiking, exploring, and feeling grateful as we celebrate America’s 250 years.

The cities below are covered in order from highest median price to lower: Rolling Hills, Manhattan Beach, Hermosa Beach, Palos Verdes Estates, Rolling Hills Estates, Rancho Palos Verdes, Hollywood Riviera, Redondo Beach, Torrance, and San Pedro.

Report Date: July 1, 2026 South Bay Market Type: Slight Sellers Market Median Sold Price: $1,229,000 30-Year Fixed Low: 6.66%

Three Big Takeaways for the South Bay

1. Good homes are still moving.

If a home is priced right, in the right location, and presented well, it can still sell quickly.

2. Buyers have more choices.

Inventory is higher than it has been in the past year, which gives buyers more room to compare, negotiate, and be selective.

3. Rates are the swing factor.

When rates move closer to 6%, buyer activity noticeably picks up. Higher rates make both buyers and sellers more cautious.

Jump to a Market

South Bay Market Overview

The market is not rapidly going up or rapidly going down. The push upward in interest rates has made things more difficult for buyers and sellers, but homes are still transacting. The best homes remain competitive, while homes with pricing, condition, or location challenges are taking longer.

Cliff’s Notes Take The South Bay is in a slight sellers market, but it does not feel one-size-fits-all. The right house can still move fast. The wrong price can sit.
Metric Current Reading Cliff’s Notes
Market Type Slight Sellers Market Sellers still have an edge, but buyers have more leverage than they did during the most aggressive market periods.
Median Sold Price $1,229,000 The South Bay remains expensive, but pricing momentum varies city by city.
Cost Difference in Past 12 Months +$33,000 Prices are modestly higher year over year across the region.
Median % of Original List Price 99.10% Most homes are still selling close to list price, but overpricing is being punished.
Months of Inventory 3.7 months More balanced than the ultra-tight market, but still not a deep buyer’s market.
Home Purchase Sentiment Index 73.5% believe the economy is on the wrong track Consumer uncertainty is real, and it shows up in cautious buyer behavior.
Interest Rate Low 6.66% Rates remain the biggest affordability hurdle.
10-Year Treasury 4.38% The mortgage spread is currently about 2.28%, above the historical average of roughly 1.7%.
Mortgage Spread 2.28% When the spread is elevated, mortgage rates stay higher than many buyers expect, even if Treasury yields are lower.

City-by-City Market Details

Each city has its own rhythm. Below is the more detailed, local read on what buyers and sellers should be thinking about right now.

Rolling Hills

Private, low-turnover, and patient. Rolling Hills continues to behave like its own luxury micro-market.

Highest Median Price Tier
MetricStatCliff’s Notes
Median Price/Sq Ft$1,062Stable luxury pricing.
Homes Active/Coming Soon13Limited transaction volume is normal here.
Median List Price$6,000,000High-end buyers are selective and patient.
Median Days on Market71Longer selling timelines are not unusual in Rolling Hills.
Price Reductions14%Few homes are seeing reductions.
1-Year Market Forecast-0.10%Mostly flat. Expect stability rather than dramatic price movement.
Cliff’s Notes TakeBuyers can be patient and wait for the right property. Sellers should also be patient and understand that fewer homes transact here, so timing can be longer.

Manhattan Beach

One of the strongest markets in the South Bay right now.

Strong Upward Momentum
MetricStatCliff’s Notes
Median Price/Sq Ft$1,745Highest median price per square foot since 2023.
Homes Active/Coming Soon80More inventory, but demand remains strong.
Median List Price$5,272,000At or near an all-time high.
Median Days on Market40Homes are selling at a healthy pace.
Price Reductions25%Lower reduction pressure than softer markets.
1-Year Market Forecast+4.10%Positive pressure likely continues, especially for well-located homes.
Cliff’s Notes TakeManhattan Beach is on a tear. Buyers need to be ready, and sellers with strong homes may have a very favorable window.

Hermosa Beach

A desirable beach market with limited options and steady demand.

Limited Inventory
MetricStatCliff’s Notes
Median Price/Sq Ft$1,455Still very strong relative to the region.
Homes Active/Coming Soon27Buyers do not have endless options.
Median List Price$2,795,000Similar to recent months.
Median Days on Market48Sellers should expect roughly one to two months in many cases.
Price Reductions22%Moderate and not alarming.
1-Year Market Forecast+4.00%Continued strength expected, especially for scarce, well-located homes.
Cliff’s Notes TakeBuyers need to be ready to pounce when the right home appears. Sellers should prepare well and plan for a thoughtful, not instant, sale process.

Palos Verdes Estates

More inventory, more buyer choice, and a market that rewards best-in-class locations.

Stable Luxury Market
MetricStatCliff’s Notes
Median Price/Sq Ft$1,103Pricing has moved up somewhat.
Homes Active/Coming Soon49Buyers have more options to compare.
Median List Price$4,150,000Luxury pricing remains significant.
Median Days on Market59Homes are taking longer than the hottest cycles.
Price Reductions36%A meaningful number of sellers are adjusting.
1-Year Market Forecast-0.10%Stable to slightly flat over the next year.
Cliff’s Notes TakeBuyers should focus on best locations and long-term quality. Sellers need to prepare the home carefully and be realistic about timing.

Rolling Hills Estates

A market shifting slightly toward buyers, depending heavily on location and property type.

Buyer Opportunity
MetricStatCliff’s Notes
Median Price/Sq Ft$704On the lower side recently.
Homes Active/Coming Soon36More homes than we have seen in a while.
Median List Price$899,000Lower than recent expectations.
Median Days on Market60Days on market have stretched.
Price Reductions20%Not excessive, but sellers need to pay attention.
1-Year Market Forecast-0.70%Slight softness expected unless rates improve.
Cliff’s Notes TakeBuyers may have the upper hand for now. Sellers need to be realistic on price, timing, and preparation.

Rancho Palos Verdes

More inventory, but pricing remains firm in many segments.

Higher Inventory, Higher Prices
MetricStatCliff’s Notes
Median Price/Sq Ft$873Near all-time high levels.
Homes Active/Coming Soon138More choices for buyers.
Median List Price$2,199,000Significantly higher, influenced partly by very high-end listings.
Median Days on Market53Moderate selling timeline.
Price Reductions32%Some sellers are adjusting, but not across the board.
1-Year Market Forecast-0.70%Mostly stable with pockets of softness, depending on location and condition.
Cliff’s Notes TakeBuyers have more homes to look at, but prices have not broadly collapsed. Sellers with strong homes can still do well if they price correctly.

Hollywood Riviera

A small, desirable pocket with limited inventory and steady long-term appeal.

Desirable Pocket
MetricStatCliff’s Notes
Median Price/Sq Ft$1,052Strong pricing for the area.
Homes Active/Coming Soon14Inventory remains limited.
Median List Price$1,990,000Still a premium lifestyle market.
Median Days on Market41Days on market have increased from last month.
Price Reductions30%Fairly standard adjustment level.
1-Year Market Forecast+0.20%Mostly flat to slightly positive.
Cliff’s Notes TakeBuyers have limited choices. Sellers still have a slight advantage, especially with homes that show well and are priced correctly.

Redondo Beach

More inventory, a lower median list price, and a good opportunity zone for buyers.

More Buyer Choice
MetricStatCliff’s Notes
Median Price/Sq Ft$832Still strong, but value opportunities exist.
Homes Active/Coming Soon147Inventory is up meaningfully year over year.
Median List Price$1,499,000Down, creating a better entry point for some buyers.
Median Days on Market36Still a relatively healthy selling pace.
Price Reductions30%Fairly standard.
1-Year Market Forecast+2.10%Moderate growth expected, especially for well-priced homes.
Cliff’s Notes TakeRedondo has more options than last year, which is good for buyers. Sellers can still expect a strong result when the home is priced and prepared correctly.

Torrance

A market with significantly more inventory and more breathing room for buyers.

Inventory Has Expanded
MetricStatCliff’s Notes
Median Price/Sq Ft$649Still up meaningfully from the past few years.
Homes Active/Coming Soon188More than doubled compared with around this time last year.
Median List Price$969,000More approachable than coastal markets.
Median Days on Market27Correctly priced homes can still sell quickly.
Price Reductions33%Buyers have more room to evaluate and negotiate.
1-Year Market Forecast+0.40%Growth is slowing, but the market remains resilient.
Cliff’s Notes TakeTorrance has become more favorable for buyers. Sellers still do well when they price correctly, but the rapid growth pace has cooled.

San Pedro

A softer market right now, with longer days on market and more buyer leverage.

Buyer’s Market Lean
MetricStatCliff’s Notes
Median Price/Sq Ft$538More value-oriented compared with nearby South Bay markets.
Homes Active/Coming Soon111Inventory is up compared with last year.
Median List Price$749,000Lower entry point than most South Bay cities.
Median Days on Market51Longer than last month.
Price Reductions33%Sellers need to be realistic.
1-Year Market Forecast-0.80%Slight softness expected in the near term.
Cliff’s Notes TakeSan Pedro is more of a buyer’s market at the moment. Sellers need patience, realistic pricing, and staging is a must.

What Buyers and Sellers Should Be Thinking

For Buyers

More inventory means more choice, but not always better pricing. The best homes still move. Be ready with financing, know your target neighborhoods, and watch rates closely.

For Sellers

Presentation and pricing matter more now. A strong launch, clean prep, good staging, and realistic pricing are the difference between momentum and sitting.

For Both

This is not a panic market. It is a strategy market. The right plan matters more than guessing where the headlines are going.

South Bay Market FAQ

Is the South Bay in a buyer’s market or seller’s market?

Overall, the South Bay is still a slight sellers market, but the answer depends on the city, price point, condition, and location. Some areas, like Manhattan Beach, remain very strong. Others, like San Pedro and parts of Torrance, are giving buyers more leverage.

Are homes still selling quickly?

Yes, but mostly when they are priced correctly, in a strong location, and presented well. Homes with aspirational pricing or condition issues are taking longer and may need price reductions.

What is the biggest factor affecting buyers right now?

Interest rates. When rates move closer to 6%, buyer activity noticeably increases. When rates push higher, affordability becomes more difficult and buyers become more cautious.

Should sellers wait or list now?

It depends on the property and the seller’s goals. A well-prepared home can still sell well now. Sellers should not assume the market will automatically give them last year’s pricing without proper preparation and strategy.

Where are buyers finding the most opportunity?

Buyers may find more opportunity in markets with higher inventory, longer days on market, and more price reductions, including Torrance, San Pedro, Rolling Hills Estates, and parts of Redondo Beach.

Thinking About Buying or Selling This Year?

If you are thinking about selling your home in the next several months, reach out and I can prepare a detailed home selling report specific to your property, neighborhood, condition, and timing.

If you are a buyer, contact me for a current look at available homes, quiet opportunities, and what may be coming to market soon.

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